One of President Ronald Reagan’s top economic advisers has some blunt advice for President Trump: Put health care aside and focus on cutting taxes.
“Cut the corporate tax. Just do it,” economist Arthur Laffer told CNNMoney.
Trump really wanted a big win in his first 100 days in office, but the repeal of Obamacare failed spectacularly in March. Trump refuses to let it go. Last week, he stunned many by saying he still wants to “do health care first,” before tackling tax reform.
Laffer thinks that’s the wrong move. Laffer advised Trump during the campaign. He’s an informal counselor now, but he’s telling everyone in the White House who will listen to do what the Reagan team did: break up tax reform into small bits instead of trying to cram it all into one huge bill.
“There’s no one who thinks a 35% federal corporate tax rate is appropriate,” Laffer says. He notes the U.S. has the highest tax rate on businesses out of any major economy in the world.
Republican economists tell Trump: Cut taxes ASAP
There’s a loud chorus of right-leaning economists telling Trump to drop health care and move on to tax cuts. In an Op-Ed in the New York Times on Wednesday, four of Trump’s top economic advisers from the campaign — Laffer, Steve Forbes, Larry Kudlow and Stephen Moore (a CNN contributor) — wrote, “Tax reform probably should have gone first, but now is the time to move it forward with urgency.”
The Op-Ed comes on the heels of Glenn Hubbard, President George W. Bush’s top economist, giving Trump that same advice back in March.
It’s notable though that Goldman Sachs(, the Wall Street firm that used to employ )several of Trump’s top advisers, now predicts tax cuts are “likely to slip to early 2018.”
The chorus of GOP economists says Trump should enact business tax cuts in 2017 and then tax reform for individuals in 2018.
Arthur Laffer says: Cut taxes but don’t cut spending yet
Laffer says the only reason Trump wants to tackle health care first is because overhauling Obamacare could generate more money for the U.S. Treasury. However, he argues Congress and the White House should stop obsessing about having tax cuts “paid for.” That would mean tax cuts do not add anything to America’s $19 trillion debt.
“The ‘pay for rule’ is the silliest rule I have ever heard in my life,” Laffer says. “You cannot balance the budget in the U.S. without growth.”
Laffer is telling Trump to cut taxes now and keep government spending about the same. The Trump Administration doesn’t appear to be heeding that advice. The White House is mulling deep cuts to the federal budget in order to fund an increase in military spending.
“Do not cut government spending right away. Wait until tax cuts have their effect on economic growth,” Laffer cautions.
How to revive Trump’s approval rating
“Our first two years were a disaster,” Laffer says of the Reagan administration. He believes Trump will rebound if he gets back on track with tax cuts. “People criticized Reagan non-stop. Reagan made gaffes as well.”
President Reagan’s approval rating did hit a low of 35% as well, but that didn’t happen until 1983, two years into Reagan’s first term. During his first 100 days in office, Reagan had an approval rating of almost 70%.
The Kansas warning sign?
Laffer is a big champion of cutting taxes to spur growth. He’s often called the father of “supply-side economics” for his research on how cutting taxes can actually bring the government more revenue.
But Laffer’s theories have come under heavy criticism lately. Many point to Kansas, a state that cut taxes in 2012 and has since faced massive budget shortfalls and a floundering economy, as proof that Laffer is wrong.
Laffer says the real problem in Kansas is that Republican Governor Sam Brownback didn’t go far enough.
“The tax cut was too small. It was a rounding error,” Laffer told CNNMoney.